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Showing posts with label Consumer Lending Law. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Consumer Lending Law. Show all posts

Monday, January 6, 2014

The Hedgehog and the Fox: A Regulatory Parable

The 7th century BCE Greek lyric poet, Archilochus, observed: "the fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing.”[i] Twenty-two centuries later, Erasmus transliterated Archilochus’s dictum by precisely rendering it into the Latin aphorism: “multa novit vulpes, verum echinus unum magnum.”[ii] When it comes to these two ways of thinking and acting, things didn’t change much between the 7th century BCE and the 16th century CE, when Erasmus penned his elucidation.

Isaiah Berlin, the British political philosopher, whose life span stretched nearly the whole 20th century,[iii] wrote a well-known essay in 1953, inspired by Archilochus’s apothegm. It was entitled “The Hedgehog and the Fox: An Essay on Tolstoy's View of History.”[iv]

Of Berlin’s essay, Arnold Toynbee, one of the great historians of our time, wrote:

“This fragment of verse by the Greek poet Archilochus describes the central thesis of Isaiah Berlin's masterly essay on Tolstoy, in which he underlines a fundamental distinction between those people (foxes) who are fascinated by the infinite variety of things and those (hedgehogs) who relate everything to a central, all embracing system.”[v] 

Since its inception, it seemed clear to me that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (the “Bureau”) is a hedgehog. It tends to view the world through the lens of a single defining idea: consumer financial protection. In accordance with this idea, the Bureau exercises this vision through a single, predominant, and coherent framework of regulations. As a hedgehog, the Bureau stays focused on this one foundational principle and repeatedly, unvaryingly, and rigidly seeks to implement that overriding proposition by applying the same methods and solutions, usually to the exclusion of other possible remedies.

This predilection is not simply a matter of judgment or style. Hedgehogs actually have one grand theory which they seek to extend into many domains, furthering their rule through a fervent belief in the guiding principle. They express their views with confidence; assurance; coolness; obstinacy; unrelenting drive; generally rigid adherence to an impliable mission; unwavering obedience and devotion to a regnant objective; a proclivity to roll results up into an aggregate value; and, a tendency to express themselves with such idiomatic phrases as “mission critical,” “the ends justify the means,” “by and large,” “ball-park figure,” “jack-of-all-trades,” “grand strategy,” “seeing the larger picture,” and “the system is the solution.” Usually, hedgehogs have a unique vision that gives rise to the ability to notice complex circumstances and discern the underlying patterns. In effect, their reach exceeds their grasp. Examples of hedgehogs are Plato, Dante, Proust and Nietzsche.

Residential lenders and originators (the “RMLOs”) are, as a group, foxes - they draw on a wide variety of experiences and do not believe for a second that the world can be boiled down to a single idea, evinced through an all-embracing framework, howsoever cogent it appears to be.

Foxes are skeptical about grand theories. They are constrained in their forecasts, and adaptive to actual events. They tend to be more accurate in their predictions than hedgehogs, since they are more agile in assigning probabilities to their expectations. While hedgehogs see the larger picture, thereby missing opportunities, foxes notice each and every pixel contributing to it, and thus quickly find opportunities. Because the fox is acutely aware of each part of the whole, it devises complex strategies to gain an advantage on the hedgehog. Often, it succeeds in its plans due to this advantage.

The kinds of idiomatic expressions that foxes use are “zero in on something,” “devil's in the details,” “under construction,” “mixed feelings,” “barking up the wrong tree,” “at this stage,” “first in class”, “trying something new,” and “let’s get another pair of eyes on this matter.” Foxes are centrifugal: they pursue divergent ends and usually possess a sense of reality, which keeps them from designing a logistical framework that purports to contain all possibilities. They instinctively know that complexity does not conduce to a unitary structure. Although foxes may have a broad vision and much agility in complex interactions, often their grasp exceeds their reach. Examples of foxes are Montaigne, Balzac, Goethe and Shakespeare.

Foxes pursue many ends at the same time, with much energy and cunning. They see the world in all its complexity. Hedgehogs simplify a complex world into a basic principle or concept that unifies and guides everything. Foxes tend to be scattered, diffused, and inconsistent. For hedgehogs, the world is reductive; that is, all challenges and dilemmas are reduced to simple hedgehog ideas, and anything that does not correlate to the hedgehog idea is without relevance. Hedgehogs see what is essential and ignore the rest.

Generally, the fox’s style is often deprived of rigorous models, specific goals, and global metrics. Foxes learn incrementally, over many iterations of experience. The foxy RMLO has a succinct advantage in swaying the hedgehog Bureau, because it nimbly responds to new information, constantly reconfiguring its market knowledge in reaction to changing circumstances. Such vital information leads to greater performance and the ability to provide solutions that open up new ways for the Bureau to fine tune its single overarching vision.

The Bureau has set compliance effective dates in January 2014 for many new rules that will affect RMLOs. As these rules go into effect, we enter the New Year noting a rather obvious example of the hedgehog’s vision and the fox’s hastening to fulfill it. Their relationship is bound by the unwavering path of the Bureau and the serpentine path of the RMLO. The Bureau’s grand vision presents a broad plan of action that must be implemented. In complying with the Bureau’s rules, the RMLO must bestir itself to be particularly attuned to working with the minutiae of details that are a part of the practical experience of actually originating and servicing residential mortgage loans.

In 2014, here are three questions to keep in mind about the relationship between the Bureau and the RMLO:

1) How prepared is your financial institution to comply with the Bureau’s expectations?
2) Are you ready to implement the Bureau’s complex requirements?
3) Does your company act like the visionary hedgehog or the nimble fox?

Foxes are cunning and have the advantage of knowing how reality works, poking holes in the hedgehog’s grand scheme of things, even as the many spindled hedgehog rolls into a big bulky ball. But beware of that ball! The hedgehog and the fox have learned never to underestimate each other. Although the fox is clever, swift, skilled in action, and knows many tricks, the hedgehog knows one big decisive trick: it can roll itself into a ball of sharp and painful spikes!

__________________________________________________________
 Jonathan Foxx
President & Managing Director
Lenders Compliance Group
Brokers Compliance Group


National Mortgage Professional Magazine - December 2013



[i] Archilochos (c. 680–c. 645 BC) was a Greek lyric poet from the island of Paros in the Archaic period.
[ii] Adagia, ("Erasmus") Desiderius Erasmus Roterodamus (October 27, 1466-July 12, 1536), Paris, 1500, from Robert Bland, Proverbs, Chiefly Taken from the Adagia of Erasmus, with Explanations; and Further Illustrated by Corresponding Examples from the Spanish, Italian, French & English Languages, Volumes 1-2, London, 1814
[iii] Sir Isaiah Berlin, (June 6, 1909-November 5, 1997), British social and political theorist, philosopher and historian of ideas.
[iv] Berlin, Isaiah, The Hedgehog and the Fox: An Essay on Tolstoy's View of History, Weidenfeld & Nicolson, London, 1953.
[v] Idem

Thursday, March 8, 2012

The Cost of Consumer Financial Protection

Recently, I met with several accomplished compliance professionals for lunch. There was considerable discussion about the continuing growth of the regulatory frameworks, the bureaucracies to maintain them, and economic burden on financial institutions. *
One individual expressed the importance of financial protection of the consumer, while recognizing that such protection causes incremental compliance requirements; another individual agreed that such protection was needed, but worried that the costs to provide that protection would ultimately be borne by the consumer through increased pricing. 
In a way, these views reflect an ethical dilemma, and I would like to explore this seeming conundrum and offer a resolution.
IN THIS ARTICLE
An Unfettered Market
Pricing
Framework
Regulations
Protecting the Consumer
"Remember that credit is money."
Ethical Dilemma
Discussion Forum
An Unfettered Market
There is no political economy that we know of, since the dawn of recorded history, in which an unfettered market has existed.
Theories abound about how such a market might function. Whether we term such markets as "unfettered" or use the more emotionally appealing word "free," these markets are nonetheless only theories, howsoever popular in the public mind, and have virtually no extrapolation into economic reality. Better to call such theoretical legerdemain "utopian markets" and leave them to their rightful place in speculative philosophy and treatises on metaphysics.
Of course, utopias are attractive and always will be, even if we instinctively know that their viability is inherently unsupported by human experience and their imagined structure is ultimately dissolved in the unsentimental crucible of human history.
Pricing
All markets are a remunerative way of exchanging information, which we call goods and services. Pricing is that information means by which markets communicate value relative to goods and services. And pricing is communicated through the conveyance of planning.
Markets contain an element of planning - some in extreme, others much less so. The plan, or the framework, is often in control of market participants by virtue of the very act of pricing. It is not possible to remove pricing from a market. Even a market predicated on bartering utilizes the "quid pro quo" as its informational pricing signal.
Framework
In the absence of a framework there is no market. It is not the framework that encourages commerce; rather, it is the commerce itself that encourages the formation of the framework. Innovative commerce often bleeds through and beyond an old framework, thus creating the need for a new framework.
And there is often reactionary resistance to the new framework. Those market participants who are paying attention to the informational signals of a new market are already finding ways and means to act in the new framework, while those whose commerce has not kept pace with innovation tend to resist the change mightily, hopelessly trying to preserve what they have by "fighting the tape."
Regulations
Over the years I have found that the word "regulations" has become a euphemism for all manner of mischief perpetrated by politicians and market participants. Notice I differentiate the two: while some politicians may be market participants, most market participants are not politicians. Yet politicians spend quite a bit of their time crafting regulations! The mischief takes the form of viewing regulations as not only coercive (which they are) but also capricious (which they are not).
Both the politicians and the market participants rail on and on between and amongst each other about the coercion and the capriciousness of regulations, yet none of them ever really defines what actually is an efficient regulation. That is because, often, neither side has any idea how best to define such a thing.
But I'll define an "efficient regulation" right here and now:
An efficient regulation is the means by which the framework is preserved. Nothing more.
An inefficient regulation is the means by which the framework is destroyed. QED.